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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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it may have been reduced by 86,000 because of hurricane sandy. but there was a good number today which was the ism data when it comes to the services sector. you can see it was up. there's the adp data. but i want to talk about the services sector which was up a bit more than expected. then what you had, business activity was up, new orders were up, employment was the one thing that was down. i don't know if that's a sandy effect. that could be also, by the way, a fiscal cliff effect. zplint vi >> interviewing secretary geithner later today. what's your first question going to be? >> i want to get his response -- we had the president respond to boehner's proposal but i want to get the secretary's response, too, the specific issue of, hey, the republicans looked like they made a step forward, actually got some accolades in some of the press for agreeing to new revenues. where's the administration's response on that side? are they willing to give? i think that's a key question right now in terms of what the news flow is right now but also there's c
it may have been reduced by 86,000 because of hurricane sandy. but there was a good number today which was the ism data when it comes to the services sector. you can see it was up. there's the adp data. but i want to talk about the services sector which was up a bit more than expected. then what you had, business activity was up, new orders were up, employment was the one thing that was down. i don't know if that's a sandy effect. that could be also, by the way, a fiscal cliff effect. zplint vi...
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Dec 1, 2012
12/12
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sandy may have been the singest biggest car destroyer since katrina. or maybe more, given the fact that so many imparted cars were damaged near the cox of the region's rivers. tuesday morning we hear from the brothers toll. here's the best home builder in the country go. ing to tell you the story of the boom. if you remember there was a time when bob toll of toll brothers and eagles fan came on "mad money" during what turned out to be the early part of the housing collapse. he said he saw the light at the end of the tunnel. but it was most like lit light of an on-coming train. those days are gladly behind us. i suspect the toll tells a story that it goes down the fiscal cliff monday. every day is fiscal cliff tuesday, wednesday, thursday. you get the picture. anyway, you should pull the trigger here to buy it here if the fiscal cliff does what i'm afraid of. brown foreman reports wednesday. this is an interesting one. why? because goldman downgraded it to sell. just last night. i've seen this movie. they were wrong last time. they'll be wrong again. i'
sandy may have been the singest biggest car destroyer since katrina. or maybe more, given the fact that so many imparted cars were damaged near the cox of the region's rivers. tuesday morning we hear from the brothers toll. here's the best home builder in the country go. ing to tell you the story of the boom. if you remember there was a time when bob toll of toll brothers and eagles fan came on "mad money" during what turned out to be the early part of the housing collapse. he said he...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000. >> that will add some jobs, that's not a fair comparison. >> so 200,000 minus 60 is 150 -- >> so you're right there. >> i don't think the economy has chang chang changed deappreciably over the last year. >> well, i think coming into friday's number, we're a little -- we don't think there's 80,000 worth of impact, might be closer to 40,000 or 50,000. whatever, there's been an impact and i agree with mark's point, 1 in about 150,000 job creation in the economy and i don't know that meaningfully changes. but i would say, if anything, the bias next year
you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000....
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Dec 5, 2012
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we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back in a moment. are system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. with the spark cash card from capital one, sven gets great rewards for his small business! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten s
we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this number is going to tell us nothing tomorrow? > know there's going to be a lot of discussion about it. i'll stick to my guns, it's a 125 to 150 economy growth some of that could be sandy. i don't donknow if you want to k about that chart. this looks at the net effect acceptable. if 30% say it's acceptable and 20% say -- these are what we asked people. how many is that? that's five of eight different solutions. >> people say, yes, we're okay dealing with the fiscal cliff, if you raise taxes on those who make more than $250,000 and then you cap deductions, and virtually everything else is off the table. >>
as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this...
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Dec 1, 2012
12/12
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sandy has made the month of november virtually irrelevant. we can sweat it, puzzle over it. in the end we'll have to dismiss it unless the unemployment rate has shockingly dropped. which would be an odd anomaly, which would show that the country could pick up the slack of the northeast. i don't think that's going to happen. next week's game plan starts on sunday when treasure secretary tim geithner will appear on "meet the press" with my friend david gregory and hopefully explain how we're going to get out of this fiscal cliff mess. for once i actually believe we'll be able to bridge the cliff on the eve of destruction. and knowing that, i am both a guy who wants to take the pin off before new year's and i'm a buyer into negative capital chatter next week. not a seller, like so many of the pessimists out there. why don't we start with neil in florida. neil. >> reporter: boo ya, jim. it's neil in florida. face book dropped zynga, what should i do? hold or drop zynga? >> have a little january effect. everybody selling that thing nine ways to sunday. bad news. maybe they'll fin
sandy has made the month of november virtually irrelevant. we can sweat it, puzzle over it. in the end we'll have to dismiss it unless the unemployment rate has shockingly dropped. which would be an odd anomaly, which would show that the country could pick up the slack of the northeast. i don't think that's going to happen. next week's game plan starts on sunday when treasure secretary tim geithner will appear on "meet the press" with my friend david gregory and hopefully explain how...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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i called sandy, just so sandy fans, i got the erstimate from y beach property and i was lucky. one house stands, the other goes down. >> tools you need to climb the market's rocky terrain. the mad dash is coming up next. and is austerity measures the way to close the deficit. i'm only in my 60's... i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, it could save you thousands in out-of-pocket costs. call now to request your free decision guide. i've been with my doctor for 12 years. now i know i'll be able to stick with him. you'll be able to visit any doctor or hospital that accepts medicare patients. plus, there are no networks, and you never need a referral. see why mil
i called sandy, just so sandy fans, i got the erstimate from y beach property and i was lucky. one house stands, the other goes down. >> tools you need to climb the market's rocky terrain. the mad dash is coming up next. and is austerity measures the way to close the deficit. i'm only in my 60's... i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one would assume in terms of good or bad for the market, for the economy. >> kernen had a good point. does strength mean the economy could handle a cliff or is it so good you wouldn't want to tamper -- >> if i wanted to create a recession, what would i do? i would raise everybody's rates. i would cut the unemployment benefit. just trying to think of a theory of how i could cause a recession. i would cut back government spending quickly. >> i would raise interest rates to 20%. >> bernanke ought to join the -- look, i think
you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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>> i think hurricane sandy had an impact in the first week, ten days in the northeast. when you speak to kohl's they were weak across the country. you could say it's part of the election results. i think there are just issues that are there. i think it was just disappointing. fw again, it's a long holiday season. the hope is, and hope and prayer is you're going to have a better december. i think some of them will. what you want to look at, even though the department stores were all negative today, a lot of the apparel retailers were positive. 5%, 10%. that's a positive sign. >> quick comment on tiffany. huge miss. stock's a mess. is this company specific or is it luxury that we need to watch out for? >> i think it's, "a," it's company specific. i think it's luxury you want to watch. if any consumer is watching this fiscal cliff, it's really the luxury customers. it's not the american eagle customers. the american eagle customers think fiscal cliff is really a rock climbing event. >> steve, good to have you on the show as always. >> thanks a lot. >> murph, what do you do
>> i think hurricane sandy had an impact in the first week, ten days in the northeast. when you speak to kohl's they were weak across the country. you could say it's part of the election results. i think there are just issues that are there. i think it was just disappointing. fw again, it's a long holiday season. the hope is, and hope and prayer is you're going to have a better december. i think some of them will. what you want to look at, even though the department stores were all...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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this was definitely a hurricane sandy event. the beginning of the month was terrible, the back end of the month was good, but it wasn't enough to make up for what they witnessed the first part of the month. i think you buy this on weakness. >> let's get to kate kelly. she has some news. what's the latest? >> melissa, the sac staff called, a second of its kind in two weeks just wrapped up a short time ago. it lasted less than half an hour. in it, sec management sought to reassure their employees. they have more than 1,000 people they employ. they wanted to reassure employees that steve cohen, a, has though plans to retire contrary to some talk out there today. two, that he is not personally entangled in this current government investigation. well, rather in the current government complaint over insider trading allegations against a former trader as well as one of sac's subsidiary units. there was talk that he may be charged in the coming months, but the staff has reassured them it'sed a rye s ed advisers that chargcharg charged a
this was definitely a hurricane sandy event. the beginning of the month was terrible, the back end of the month was good, but it wasn't enough to make up for what they witnessed the first part of the month. i think you buy this on weakness. >> let's get to kate kelly. she has some news. what's the latest? >> melissa, the sac staff called, a second of its kind in two weeks just wrapped up a short time ago. it lasted less than half an hour. in it, sec management sought to reassure...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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hurricane sandy was directly in his district so he made some comments about it. he said that the damage was worse than first anticipated. that's something we've been talking a lot about. original number was $50 billion. it's in the $70 billion to $90 billion range. it is probably going to shave a quarter to half a point off gdp. you talked about the fiscal cliff which he says congress and the president must address. he says because we're at the zero balance, interest rates were zero, the effect of the fiscal cliff is getting much worse than if the fed were not at zero. >> because they could do something. >> the only positive thing which dudley did not talk about but it is something that's on the radar is that, as the fiscal cliff fears rise, interest rates fall on the 10-year. so the effect the fed would have from easing is already in -- already happening as a market reaction. >> steve, thank you. >>> when jeff kilburg is not fired up about the irish he is fired up about what mr. dudley said today. why? >> absolutely. he came out with very dovish comments. he las
hurricane sandy was directly in his district so he made some comments about it. he said that the damage was worse than first anticipated. that's something we've been talking a lot about. original number was $50 billion. it's in the $70 billion to $90 billion range. it is probably going to shave a quarter to half a point off gdp. you talked about the fiscal cliff which he says congress and the president must address. he says because we're at the zero balance, interest rates were zero, the effect...
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Nov 29, 2012
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. >> tom, right after sandy, a couple weeks ago or three weeks eeg y ago you were talking about sandy being twice the size of katrina but the wind speeds weren't as much and it wasn't going to affect all state. did you see christie and cuomo? are those real numbers? is that what they'd like to see from the feds or is it worse than what you thought on november 1st? itz's worse than what we thought out. it will cost us 1 billion 75 doll lars. it is a significant event. it's significant flooding. that's not typically konked by us but by the government if you buy their policy. unfortunately very few people buy coverage. so unfort flatly there's a bunch of people whose homes got wrecked and that's what cuomo and christie are seeking. our government has a hit of going back to the state and saying, sorry you didn't buy insurance, here's some money and they'll do it again. they're trying to negotiate as to how much they get. >> allstate's ceo tom wilson. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >>> when we return, we'll have gene ludwig. he will be our special guest. also at the bottom of the h
. >> tom, right after sandy, a couple weeks ago or three weeks eeg y ago you were talking about sandy being twice the size of katrina but the wind speeds weren't as much and it wasn't going to affect all state. did you see christie and cuomo? are those real numbers? is that what they'd like to see from the feds or is it worse than what you thought on november 1st? itz's worse than what we thought out. it will cost us 1 billion 75 doll lars. it is a significant event. it's significant...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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and a lot of companies were saying it was just superstorm sandy. it shut down the stores in some cases or kept consumers at bay. how do you think we will fare to the holidays? >> yesterday was big day for retail. those that roar yesterday, genuinely speaking had poor numbers. we knew it was the hurricane. we knew it would be weak. you know. it was supposed to be adjusted in the expectations. numbers came in way below expectations. some of the stocks got hammered, macy's, kohl's. we are trying to make sense of what that means. we when you go through each retailer in the numbers, really the first half -- businesses really slowed. first two weeks. anything we think of, not the hurricane itself. must have been the concern, you know, about the hurricane and people watching tv. people focused on that. also, you know, with the election people focused on that. you know. so the first two weeks are weak. last two weeks seem to come back and be fairly decent. >> so you think that for the holiday shopping season, that the -- better trend will continue? where d
and a lot of companies were saying it was just superstorm sandy. it shut down the stores in some cases or kept consumers at bay. how do you think we will fare to the holidays? >> yesterday was big day for retail. those that roar yesterday, genuinely speaking had poor numbers. we knew it was the hurricane. we knew it would be weak. you know. it was supposed to be adjusted in the expectations. numbers came in way below expectations. some of the stocks got hammered, macy's, kohl's. we are...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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the tragedy of hurricane sandy was a revelation. our country needs to upgrade its power grid and we've got to do it now. in this one area, it seems like our state governments and utilities are actually on the case, which is why you want to own quanta services, power, pwr, the company that builds out any infrastructure and a killer pipeline business. what's not to like? after the break, i'll try to make you more money. >>> coming up -- >> how should of pleasure. >>> pending home sales rose to a five-year high today, but which stock should you moved into is it as the foundation for growth and housing becomes more secure. tonight it's an open house for three potential plays on a real estate rebound. which one should you put an offer out on? with the spark cash card from capital one, olaf gets great rewards for his small business! pizza! [ garth ] olaf's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! helium delivery. put it on my spark card! [ pop! ] [ garth ] why settle for less? great businesses deserve great rewards!
the tragedy of hurricane sandy was a revelation. our country needs to upgrade its power grid and we've got to do it now. in this one area, it seems like our state governments and utilities are actually on the case, which is why you want to own quanta services, power, pwr, the company that builds out any infrastructure and a killer pipeline business. what's not to like? after the break, i'll try to make you more money. >>> coming up -- >> how should of pleasure. >>>...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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the tragedy of hurricane sandy was a revelation. our country needs to upgrade its power grid and we've got to do it now. in this one area, it seems like our state governments and our utilities are actually on the case, which is why you want to own quanta services, power, pwr, the company that builds out new infrastructure and has a killer pipeline business. what's not to like? after the break, i'll try to make you more money. >>> coming up -- >> house of pleasure. >>> pending home sales rose to a five-year high today, but which stock should you moved into as the foundation for growth and housing becomes more secure. tonight it's an open house for three potential plays on a real estate rebound. which one should you put an offer out on? [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... ♪ ♪ ...or you can get out there with your friends and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on, offering some of our best values of the year. this is the pursuit of perfection.
the tragedy of hurricane sandy was a revelation. our country needs to upgrade its power grid and we've got to do it now. in this one area, it seems like our state governments and our utilities are actually on the case, which is why you want to own quanta services, power, pwr, the company that builds out new infrastructure and has a killer pipeline business. what's not to like? after the break, i'll try to make you more money. >>> coming up -- >> house of pleasure. >>>...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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some of that is attribute knowledge to superstorm sandy. an estimated quarter million vex were destroyed. those numbers will be out this morning. it would only say that it is speaking to, quote, interested parties. but delta air lines is involved in those sdgzs. virgin is the second largest airline at heath row. >>> and lenny dykstra will be sentenced today. he was found to have hidden and stole sports memorabilia other items that were supposed to be part of a bankruptcy filing. >>> the game of political chicken, we were looking to rise above the partisan politics and trying to get something done. david walker, ceo of the america comeback initiative, steve mcmahon, co-founder of purple strategies, you guys have been on for a while and we've talked about a lot of things. steve, just 1:30 ag ago, you made a point talking about the bush tax cuts. and i said the tax cuts have been near and dear and you said at least bush was smart enough to know that we couldn't afford them so they were sunseted. >> so they were sunseted. >> that may happen. in
some of that is attribute knowledge to superstorm sandy. an estimated quarter million vex were destroyed. those numbers will be out this morning. it would only say that it is speaking to, quote, interested parties. but delta air lines is involved in those sdgzs. virgin is the second largest airline at heath row. >>> and lenny dykstra will be sentenced today. he was found to have hidden and stole sports memorabilia other items that were supposed to be part of a bankruptcy filing....
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Dec 3, 2012
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how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that are on average 11.1 years of age that are really driving car sales. in this low interest rate environment, this is the other big ticket item. >> how are people going to fund their purchases? you have an 11-year-old car, how are they funding the replacement of it? >> well, the availability of credit has improved dramatically over the last eight months or so. and we're even seeing people with bumps in their credit history, subprime borrowers, getting more acceptances of their car loans. and of course there are a lot of incentivized interest rates from the manufacturer's financing arms out there, as well. th
how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation rate, down 0.2 to 63.6%. how did we get to 7.7% unemployment? basically the number of unemployed persons dropped more than the number of employed and there were downward trends in both those categories. lots to chew on. back to you guys. >> hampton, thank you. we are kind of scratching our heads. let's get more reaction from our panel. mark zandi and jared bernstein are here with us. mark, what do you make of this number? we've set this up as numbers were not going to be things we watched closely because of sandy. >> i'd say two things
now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an example. wells fargo gallup does a small survey. on hiring, small businesses dropped to the lowest level of opt miimism in four years. it doesn't matter what ben bernanke does. i think his programs have long since not really helped the employment side, but the fiscal cliff is doing obvious damage. that's going to make what everybody knows is coming. we ran out of two years to sell. they're going to go from a twist to outright purchases. it's fully built into the market, but it isn't going to help. the fiscal cliff is going to do more damage t
early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6 to a mere 0.4%. it's warned of an imminent recession as problems in europe periphery weigh. futures at the moment forecasts a soft start. down 15 at the moment on the dow, nasdaq currently called down 3.8, and s&p 500 around 1.5 points. european stocks are flat really. forgave points for the ftse, xetra dax is up though at it highest level since 2008. up nearly 28% this year. flat on the cac, ibex down two thirds. but hurricane sandy is expected to have put a pretty big accident in the november u.s. jobs report. it's out at 8:30 eastern. nonfarm p
hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and there is no effect which brings us to the numbers which you could believe on face value as much as you can. they'll revise this again. they only come forward with 60% to 70% of the sample. unemployment rate falling 7.7% because largely a drop in the labor force. average hourly earnings up 0.2%. despite positive headlines, xwoeld man sax says we interpret this report as one only slightly better than expected overall given downward revisions and weaker labor force and it does not change our assessment of the underlying strength of the labor market. priva
no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and...
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Nov 30, 2012
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they did site sandy. what is interesting about the action, down about 7% is what the analysts are saying. credit suisse reduced their price target from 25 to $23 and say neutral but carries and company retains their buy rating with a $47 price tarpgt they took it down to 40. so obviously they still see huge upside in this company even though it's down 6.5% and their guidance is down. back to you. >> all right. thanks so much. let's get to rick santelli in chicago. he is in the pits of the cme with jim bianco. rick? >> absolutely. always an interesting guest. welcome, jim. i guess let's start out, you know, if i go back to october 26th when gdp from third quarter had its flash and it was 2%, the market was down close to ten basis points. they weren't satisfied with it even though it was better than everybody thought. so yesterday we get an upgrade to 2.7 and what happens? the market doesn't do anything to the down side reflecting that strength. so i think the market is smart. what do you think? >> i do too
they did site sandy. what is interesting about the action, down about 7% is what the analysts are saying. credit suisse reduced their price target from 25 to $23 and say neutral but carries and company retains their buy rating with a $47 price tarpgt they took it down to 40. so obviously they still see huge upside in this company even though it's down 6.5% and their guidance is down. back to you. >> all right. thanks so much. let's get to rick santelli in chicago. he is in the pits of the...
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Dec 3, 2012
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sandy stimulated sales of new cars last month. see which automaker drove away with bigger gains, ford or gm. >> then pain at the pump. our next guest is warning a new ethanol fuel blend that not only costs more but adds to the cost of food could damage your car and void your warranty. really? you're going to want to hear this coming up. >>> and banks be aware. a third of americans would rather get a mortgage from walmart than a bank, even though walmart doesn't offer them, at least not yet. we'll hear from somebody saying offering home loans would be a boone for walmart stocks. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- you can stay in and share something... ♪ ♪ ...or you can get out there with your friends and actually share something. ♪ the lexus december to remember sales event is on, offering some of our best values of the year. this is the pursuit of perfection. offering some of our best values of the year. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very i
sandy stimulated sales of new cars last month. see which automaker drove away with bigger gains, ford or gm. >> then pain at the pump. our next guest is warning a new ethanol fuel blend that not only costs more but adds to the cost of food could damage your car and void your warranty. really? you're going to want to hear this coming up. >>> and banks be aware. a third of americans would rather get a mortgage from walmart than a bank, even though walmart doesn't offer them, at...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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any sense anecdotally or your sense of store traffic as to what sandy's impact was? >> i think it was a drag for most retailers. we heard from kohl's sax, that it was a drag. also the tiffany flagship store represents about 8% of overall sales. so expect to hear the sandy excuse certainly as same store sales roll out and as well from tiffany. >> especially in a year when you expect the push pushes them into the black for the year, actually all the discounting really starting to hurt retailers' bottom lines? >> that's the question. this year discounts were so heavy. so is black friday really turning in to red friday. typically it signifies the beginning of when retailers start making money. but you saw that the promotions were crazy. there were televisions at best buy for under $200. that was a 50% discount. walmart was guaranteeing in stock on ipad 2s giving away a $75 gift certificate. so the question is are they just giving away sales here. >> and that will be something to watch when we he get those figures, too, whether it reflects discounting as much as it does v
any sense anecdotally or your sense of store traffic as to what sandy's impact was? >> i think it was a drag for most retailers. we heard from kohl's sax, that it was a drag. also the tiffany flagship store represents about 8% of overall sales. so expect to hear the sandy excuse certainly as same store sales roll out and as well from tiffany. >> especially in a year when you expect the push pushes them into the black for the year, actually all the discounting really starting to hurt...
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Dec 3, 2012
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how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's where you have to look, to see what the trend was beforehand. >> okay. now europe. you know, there was a little bit of a -- a confusion this morning when spain asked for a bailout. they're talking bank bailout, country bailout, new program. rates are down. i've seen many stories, if this is really going to be a positive rates being down, we have to really draw in more global investors. do you think that will happen ultimately? >> ultimately, i do think it will. any time europe gets pushed to the background, i'm kind of pleased. as long as their banking system isn't going to affect ours, i think we can
how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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the question is, though, is it all sandy related? let's bring in herb greenberg and jan nippon. jan, it is so easy to blame the weather but in this case, is it justified? >> well, the weather was a problem and the long calendar is a problem. i think the weather was less of a story than the long calendar. when you put two extra selling days in front of christmas in december, it has to come out of somewhere. it will come out of early december, but if only one-third of it even comes out of november, it's about a 400 basis point hit to sales. so i think most of what we're seeing here is early november had two warm of weather in one-third of the country, a great hurricane in one-quarter of the country and the consumer said i got plenty of time, i don't have to really go out and spend so we had a really slow front end of the month. we'll get a lot of that back in december. i'm still predicting a great christmas. >> we have two themes on this show -- panic now or everything's fine. which one is it for retail? >> everything's fine. >> it's a "rise above" pin. >> do these drops in the sh
the question is, though, is it all sandy related? let's bring in herb greenberg and jan nippon. jan, it is so easy to blame the weather but in this case, is it justified? >> well, the weather was a problem and the long calendar is a problem. i think the weather was less of a story than the long calendar. when you put two extra selling days in front of christmas in december, it has to come out of somewhere. it will come out of early december, but if only one-third of it even comes out of...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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know what's going on in the next couple of months, coupled with the fact we just came off of hurricane sandy, this is not the time to play games and taunt one another with these plans that everybody knows are not real plans. >> i agree, but i think we should look beyond one year's growth. we're talking about growth through 2050. the gentleman pretending to know he knows the growth rate between now and 2050 -- >> he gets paid to make predictions, steve. that's what he's doing. by the way, his former predictions have been right. let's give him that. >> some of them have been right. there was a guy in the 19th century who predicted we were all going to starve as he predicted the proplatiopulation of the world with but forgot to predict the agricultural technology. you can't hold one constant and let the other variable be a variable. >> right now this country is focusing on policies that continue to predistribute from the most productive members to those that may be more favorable. that's his point, that we've continued to lose momentum for the past several decades and continuing to implement th
know what's going on in the next couple of months, coupled with the fact we just came off of hurricane sandy, this is not the time to play games and taunt one another with these plans that everybody knows are not real plans. >> i agree, but i think we should look beyond one year's growth. we're talking about growth through 2050. the gentleman pretending to know he knows the growth rate between now and 2050 -- >> he gets paid to make predictions, steve. that's what he's doing. by the...
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Dec 6, 2012
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we got the big distortions from san sandy. slowly working through that. so i think if there's an outlier, investors will yawn and wait for the big nonfarm payroll report tomorrow. >> are we comfortable mf-i don't know how comfortable we are. consumers seem to be in better fettl eflt. >> in spite of this anemic job growth that we've had during the entire jobless recovery, it seems like consumers sense the -- their balance sheets have improved pretty dramatically. so, yeah, consumers -- and that's led to consumers spending slightly more than what experts thought they would spend. >> so you're overweight large cap versus small cap. why? >> the large cap u.s. multinationals, they typically have overseas subsidiaries that can reach into the emerging pockets of growth. i like the dividends payers, as well, because in these choppy markets which we'll continue to have get nice dividends. >> all right much ha. . have a good day. that's it for today's program. "squawk box" it is next. ♪ [ male announcer ] how could a luminous protein in jellyfish, impact life exp
we got the big distortions from san sandy. slowly working through that. so i think if there's an outlier, investors will yawn and wait for the big nonfarm payroll report tomorrow. >> are we comfortable mf-i don't know how comfortable we are. consumers seem to be in better fettl eflt. >> in spite of this anemic job growth that we've had during the entire jobless recovery, it seems like consumers sense the -- their balance sheets have improved pretty dramatically. so, yeah, consumers...
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Dec 3, 2012
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particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to 2013. >> are you buying the market on any pullback? >> i like the santa claus rally with josh and would be raising cash. i think the risk in the markets further on the down side than the up side. but when you see some real pullbacks, buy the stock if you like it. >> morgan stanley's top market watcher has been bearish all year and not ready to change his mind. adam parker joins us live. welcome back to halftime. good to see you. >> how are you, scott? >> 1167 is where you thought we would be at the end of the year. you'll be far short. why aren't you willi
particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to...
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Dec 1, 2012
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could have something to do with superstorm sandy. weak in yesterday's third quarter gdp report. profits, and these are the broadest gdp profits, covering about 5 million large and small companies really came in pretty good in the third quarter. up 9% from a year ago. so even though business looks weak, good profits could be the backbone of the stock market despite the hysteria of the fiscal cliff. let's talk to don -- for all th hysteria, profits are rising, the economy has got pluses and minuses. i'm not sure people need to pay all that attention to the fiscal cliff. >> well, if you look at what the global stock markets are doing, they suggest that our market would be doing significantly better were it not for the fiscal cliff. now profits have been good. i think people are getting used to the idea they trust corporate ceos more than they trust those that print government bonds that aren't really worth as much by the time they mature. they're also seeing a yield compression around the world. if you look at corporate beyond yields, they're about half of where they were just a ye
could have something to do with superstorm sandy. weak in yesterday's third quarter gdp report. profits, and these are the broadest gdp profits, covering about 5 million large and small companies really came in pretty good in the third quarter. up 9% from a year ago. so even though business looks weak, good profits could be the backbone of the stock market despite the hysteria of the fiscal cliff. let's talk to don -- for all th hysteria, profits are rising, the economy has got pluses and...
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Dec 6, 2012
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post-sandy now reservations have come back from these airlines. there was a lot of worry of cancellations. >> because a lot of families still have not recovered from that. there was a thought that would be a much longer lag. >> bookings have returned to normal. that's key. >> kenny pulkari is here. there's no recipe. >> we might have to do takeout in the herrera household tonight. it's coming, guys, but it probably won't be here until tomorrow. you just have to wait. the market's kind of waiting, too. it's all on washington. i was impressed with yesterday the market was able to hold on to an advance in the face of apple. i think that boded pretty well. >> well, i think that's true but i think apple is a situation and issue unto itself. right? certainly it affects -- you saw what it did to the nasdaq yesterday. but for the broader market i think it does say a lot for the strength of the broader market in terms what have it wants to see. it wants to see the resolution. whether apple goes up or down. if we get a resolution of the fiscal cliff or the
post-sandy now reservations have come back from these airlines. there was a lot of worry of cancellations. >> because a lot of families still have not recovered from that. there was a thought that would be a much longer lag. >> bookings have returned to normal. that's key. >> kenny pulkari is here. there's no recipe. >> we might have to do takeout in the herrera household tonight. it's coming, guys, but it probably won't be here until tomorrow. you just have to wait. the...
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Dec 6, 2012
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jobless claims coming in, down and this number should be essentially clean of sandy effects, so finally a clean read as to the claims aspect. but it doesn't look like, jim, that we are set for a lower open today. >> carl pointed out that maybe there's some room between sides. but, look, yesterday was one of those days, show a lot of americans don't even know about the fiscal cliff. paychecks are going to go down, a million layoffs in the defense industry. no one seems to care right now. it's bad. >> you know what we have going for us? the grid, december 17 announced -- on a seasonal basis, they have reiterated once again that it doesn't have the demand to be sold year round, but starting a week from monday. >> i don't buy that. i think they do it because whenever they have mcrib, they're just fighting traffic for mcrib. there are places in the world where the mcrib is on the menu all the time. in case you're there on your vacation. >> i'm learning here all the time. i'm always learning. >> switch from the bacon cheese-inator. [ bell rings ] . >> celebrating the ground breaking of hotels
jobless claims coming in, down and this number should be essentially clean of sandy effects, so finally a clean read as to the claims aspect. but it doesn't look like, jim, that we are set for a lower open today. >> carl pointed out that maybe there's some room between sides. but, look, yesterday was one of those days, show a lot of americans don't even know about the fiscal cliff. paychecks are going to go down, a million layoffs in the defense industry. no one seems to care right now....
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Dec 6, 2012
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estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in yen terms over the course of the last two months you are profitable. somebody owns gold in dollar terms is down several points. gold is nothing more than another currency, crossed against other currencies and there's nothing spectacular about gold, it's just a currency. >> call it a slick slide for oil, crude falling 2% nearing its lowest level in three weeks. for more let's go to jackie deangelis, the host of "futures now." >> crude having a tough day, the question is why. look at this chart dollar strength is causing major pain for oil, our question today is there more to selling than just the dollar rally? let's
estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in...